Verified Signal Track Record

See how ConsciousTrade signals performed before you sign in.

Last 90 days of verified signals, measured by underlying price movement after the stated horizon. Sample size and methodology stay visible so the numbers stay honest.

Last updated 6/23/2026, 6:34:01 PM

Verified Signals

0

WIN, LOSS, and SKIPPED outcomes

Win Rate

Excludes skipped signals

Avg Move

Underlying move after signal

Skipped Rate

Flat or non-actionable outcomes

Track record is warming up

ConsciousTrade has not verified enough public signals in the last 90 days to show a meaningful performance view yet. The page will populate automatically as outcome verification completes.

Confidence Calibration

ConvictionSignalsWin rate
0-400
41-650
66-800
81-1000

Time Horizon

HorizonSignalsWin rate

By Strategy

No verified strategy data yet.

Recent Verified Signals

SymbolSignalConvictionOutcomeMoveVerified
No verified signals yet.

Calibration

Does stated confidence match actual win rate? The dot should follow the diagonal.

Brier Score

0.2927

lower = better

Avg R-Multiple

-0.76

risk-adjusted return

ECE

0.2198

calibration error

0%25%50%75%100%40–50% confidence: 20% actual win rate (n=5)50–60% confidence: 43.8% actual win rate (n=121)60–70% confidence: 36.4% actual win rate (n=140)70–80% confidence: 44.4% actual win rate (n=108)ConfidenceActual Win Rate
StrategySignalsWin RateAvg RSharpe Proxy
Bullish — debit spread20933.5%-1.18-0.29
Bullish — long calls6654.5%
Bearish — long puts4136.6%
Bearish — debit spread3357.6%0.250.07
Volatility play2450%0.520.11
Volatility play (wide)1100%9.88

Methodology

Signals are verified using underlying price movement after the stated horizon. Options P&L may differ because of IV, spread width, fill quality, and timing.

This is not financial advice. Past signal outcomes do not guarantee future results. Options trade results can differ materially from underlying price movement because of volatility, time decay, liquidity, fill quality, commissions, and execution timing.

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