Verified Signal Track Record
See how ConsciousTrade signals performed before you sign in.
Last 90 days of verified signals, measured by underlying price movement after the stated horizon. Sample size and methodology stay visible so the numbers stay honest.
Last updated 6/23/2026, 6:34:01 PM
Verified Signals
0
WIN, LOSS, and SKIPPED outcomes
Win Rate
—
Excludes skipped signals
Avg Move
—
Underlying move after signal
Skipped Rate
—
Flat or non-actionable outcomes
Track record is warming up
ConsciousTrade has not verified enough public signals in the last 90 days to show a meaningful performance view yet. The page will populate automatically as outcome verification completes.
Confidence Calibration
| Conviction | Signals | Win rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0-40 | 0 | — |
| 41-65 | 0 | — |
| 66-80 | 0 | — |
| 81-100 | 0 | — |
Time Horizon
| Horizon | Signals | Win rate |
|---|
By Strategy
No verified strategy data yet.
Recent Verified Signals
| Symbol | Signal | Conviction | Outcome | Move | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No verified signals yet. | |||||
Calibration
Does stated confidence match actual win rate? The dot should follow the diagonal.
Brier Score
0.2927
lower = better
Avg R-Multiple
-0.76
risk-adjusted return
ECE
0.2198
calibration error
| Strategy | Signals | Win Rate | Avg R | Sharpe Proxy |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bullish — debit spread | 209 | 33.5% | -1.18 | -0.29 |
| Bullish — long calls | 66 | 54.5% | — | — |
| Bearish — long puts | 41 | 36.6% | — | — |
| Bearish — debit spread | 33 | 57.6% | 0.25 | 0.07 |
| Volatility play | 24 | 50% | 0.52 | 0.11 |
| Volatility play (wide) | 1 | 100% | 9.88 | — |
Methodology
Signals are verified using underlying price movement after the stated horizon. Options P&L may differ because of IV, spread width, fill quality, and timing.
This is not financial advice. Past signal outcomes do not guarantee future results. Options trade results can differ materially from underlying price movement because of volatility, time decay, liquidity, fill quality, commissions, and execution timing.
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