Verified Signal Track Record

See how ConsciousTrade signals performed before you sign in.

Last 90 days of verified signals, measured by underlying price movement after the stated horizon. Sample size and methodology stay visible so the numbers stay honest.

Last updated 8/21/2026, 7:35:26 PM

Verified Signals

WIN, LOSS, and SKIPPED outcomes

Win Rate

—

Excludes skipped signals

Avg Move

—

Underlying move after signal

Skipped Rate

—

Flat or non-actionable outcomes

Track record is warming up

ConsciousTrade has not verified enough public signals in the last 90 days to show a meaningful performance view yet. The page will populate automatically as outcome verification completes.

Confidence Calibration

Conviction	Signals	Win rate
0-40	0	—
41-65	0	—
66-80	0	—
81-100	0	—

Time Horizon

Horizon	Signals	Win rate

By Strategy

No verified strategy data yet.

Recent Verified Signals

Symbol	Signal	Conviction	Outcome	Move	Verified
No verified signals yet.

Calibration

Does stated confidence match actual win rate? The dot should follow the diagonal.

Brier Score

0.3021

lower = better

Avg R-Multiple

-0.54

risk-adjusted return

ECE

0.2491

calibration error

Strategy	Signals	Win Rate	Avg R	Sharpe Proxy
Bullish — debit spread	885	38.6%	-0.50	-0.09
Bearish — debit spread	130	30.8%	-1.00	-0.19
Volatility play	16	56.3%	1.28	0.25
Bullish — long calls	15	46.7%	-2.50	-0.70
Bearish — long puts	2	100%	1.92	—
Volatility play (wide)	1	100%	9.88	—

Methodology

Signals are verified using underlying price movement after the stated horizon. Options P&L may differ because of IV, spread width, fill quality, and timing.

This is not financial advice. Past signal outcomes do not guarantee future results. Options trade results can differ materially from underlying price movement because of volatility, time decay, liquidity, fill quality, commissions, and execution timing.